Zolot
0xf305545caa20cd27ed150628bd37d70936f462a3
- Realised P&L
- $-687.35
- Volume
- $50.7k
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $83.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.349 | 0.390 | $35.10 | +$3.69 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.145 | $14.50 | −$35.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.070 | $12.60 | −$6.79 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.085 | $11.26 | −$37.76 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.049 | $9.70 | −$44.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.05at 0.437Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
- +$32.64at 0.237Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 28?
- +$27.30at 0.610United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5
- +$16.94at 0.600Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4?
- +$16.75at 0.788Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3490344444 | $31.41 |
| 09-30 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1075185655 | $17.81 |
| 09-30 04:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 03:21 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.26 | $9.47 |
| 09-29 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.92 |
| 09-28 03:14 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.2282910774 | $35.00 |
| 09-25 14:27 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.27 |
| 09-25 14:24 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0606776 | $37.92 |
| 09-25 00:42 | Will Xi leave the USA on September 24, 2026 or earlier? | BUY | 0.998 | $160.68 |
| 09-23 15:24 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 15:24 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $40.00 |
| 09-23 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.4376889968 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3988269795 | $17.00 |
| 09-18 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1990049751 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4562632025 | $10.00 |