PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Zolot

0xf305545caa20cd27ed150628bd37d70936f462a3

Realised P&L
$-687.35
Volume
$50.7k
Markets traded
199
Open portfolio
$83.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded199
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1? · Yes0.3490.390$35.10+$3.69
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.145$14.50−$35.50
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 1? · Yes0.1080.070$12.60−$6.79
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.3700.085$11.26−$37.76
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2700.049$9.70−$44.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 01:33Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1?BUY0.3490344444$31.41
09-30 22:49Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 1?BUY0.1075185655$17.81
09-30 04:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETBUY0.3099999857$5.00
09-30 03:21Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 30?BUY0.26$9.47
09-29 00:57Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 29?BUY0.23$2.92
09-28 03:14Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 28?BUY0.2282910774$35.00
09-25 14:27Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?SELL0.73$3.27
09-25 14:24Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0606776$37.92
09-25 00:42Will Xi leave the USA on September 24, 2026 or earlier?BUY0.998$160.68
09-23 15:24Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.08$10.00
09-23 15:24Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.08$40.00
09-23 02:44Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 23?BUY0.4376889968$20.00
09-19 03:05Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 19?BUY0.3988269795$17.00
09-18 05:32Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 18?BUY0.1990049751$10.00
09-18 05:31Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 18?BUY0.4562632025$10.00