0xf2fa20601210767756ea1564991d579a10c4008b
0xf2fa20601210767756ea1564991d579a10c4008b
- Realised P&L
- $29.00
- Volume
- $430.93
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $16.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.419 | 0.285 | $9.72 | −$4.58 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.427 | $2.32 | +$1.07 |
| Will Hims & Hers (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.245 | 0.220 | $2.20 | −$0.25 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.355 | $1.84 | +$0.44 |
| Will four or more people dissent the October Fed decision? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.08 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.16at 0.848Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?
- +$12.50at 0.950Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?
- +$3.05at 0.502Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 08:43 | Will Hims & Hers (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 11-01 06:40 | Will Hims & Hers (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 11-01 05:35 | Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 10-31 12:57 | Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 10-30 04:51 | Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 10-29 14:15 | Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 10-29 12:30 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? | BUY | 0.95 | $237.50 |
| 10-29 10:02 | Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 10-29 02:23 | Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.35 |
| 10-28 14:15 | Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 10-28 05:51 | Will four or more people dissent the October Fed decision? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.08 |
| 10-28 02:48 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2299999834 | $1.25 |
| 10-27 02:48 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2699999576 | $1.40 |
| 10-27 02:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0699999974 | $1.62 |
| 10-21 06:00 | Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.8477909952 | $89.99 |