PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Newt8

0xf2f2f8aa2ef6814f88db51c3466a36145ab10b2d

Realised P&L
$-109.57
Volume
$12.4k
Markets traded
325
Open portfolio
$148.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded325
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5000.595$59.26+$9.46
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5000.405$40.34$9.46
Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.9100.870$22.62$1.04
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4100.345$16.83$3.17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1620.160$9.85$0.15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00$5.00
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 25? · No0.8870.000$0.00$25.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 6? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00$21.00
Another US military action against Iran before 2026? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$5.00
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$10.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$4.00
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$6.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$14.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 20:19Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4699999849$14.00
08-31 19:45Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.4099999947$20.00
08-31 19:45Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.999$22.40
08-22 17:30Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?BUY0.9099999992$11.00
08-22 17:29Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.982$10.35
08-15 19:34Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1619999866$10.00
08-09 19:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.4059405515$5.00
08-09 19:55Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.9099999936$30.00
07-19 17:38Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999947$20.00
07-19 17:37Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.591$9.36
07-15 14:57Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.6424999985$15.00
07-15 14:56Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.581$8.84
07-15 14:56Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.227$10.32
07-04 13:59Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.8299999867$25.00
06-08 18:08Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1$4.00