Newt8
0xf2f2f8aa2ef6814f88db51c3466a36145ab10b2d
- Realised P&L
- $-109.57
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 325
- Open portfolio
- $148.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded325
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.19at 0.232Will Apple launch an iPhone SE on February 19?
- +$34.06at 0.370Panthers vs. Flyers
- +$34.05at 0.370Hurricanes vs. Sabres
- +$26.51at 0.430Lightning vs. Canadiens
- +$23.48at 0.460Lightning vs. Bruins
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 20:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4699999849 | $14.00 |
| 08-31 19:45 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $20.00 |
| 08-31 19:45 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.40 |
| 08-22 17:30 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $11.00 |
| 08-22 17:29 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.982 | $10.35 |
| 08-15 19:34 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1619999866 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4059405515 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 19:55 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9099999936 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 17:38 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 17:37 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.591 | $9.36 |
| 07-15 14:57 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.6424999985 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 14:56 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $8.84 |
| 07-15 14:56 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.227 | $10.32 |
| 07-04 13:59 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8299999867 | $25.00 |
| 06-08 18:08 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.00 |