PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MonkMode

0xf2c83b46090f42ef6bea8a24744270a2b65cda0e

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$162.3k
Markets traded
671
Open portfolio
$160.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded671
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4170.219$98.55−$88.94
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6750.545$10.90−$2.60
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4110.019$10.15−$203.79
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7670.105$7.88−$49.66
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · No0.8000.275$6.88−$13.13
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? · Yes0.7000.925$4.63+$1.13
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9000.884$4.42−$0.08
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? · No0.8500.875$4.38+$0.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6000.565$2.83−$0.17
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2200.130$2.60−$1.80
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1620.060$2.42−$4.08
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? · Yes0.1100.115$1.73+$0.07
Will Hyperliquid reach $150 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.077$1.16−$1.09
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.032$0.80−$2.95
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1970.036$0.55−$2.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 13:13Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
09-21 09:28Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5$7.50
09-16 18:12Will Zcash reach $1300 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.999$19.98
09-09 13:41Will Zcash reach $1300 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$8.70
09-06 05:15Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.999$24.98
05-06 07:20Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.82$123.00
04-21 10:21Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.79$7.90
04-20 12:15Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.79$23.70
04-20 10:51Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?BUY0.985$98.50
02-07 17:26Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-07?SELL0.999$5.00
01-23 15:07Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?SELL0.07$0.35
12-31 17:12Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?SELL0.999$5.00
12-31 10:39Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?SELL0.001$0.15
12-27 09:51Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.996$498.00
12-08 13:10Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?SELL0.55$25.54