PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2106c2d8c5018d831c7858556788587b79e7EDE7-1769698147413

0xf2b210785d8f11a11a5b060cf5ddd4f4066f2e80

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$166.1k
Markets traded
1,682
Open portfolio
$146.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,682
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026? · No0.7160.958$32.09+$8.09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.3400.935$27.11+$17.25
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.7500.935$24.91+$4.93
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8100.945$11.34+$1.62
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.8800.974$10.96+$1.06
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.3000.230$6.90−$2.10
Spread: Ravens (-3.5) · Ravens0.2800.275$4.20−$0.08
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026? · No0.8400.965$3.44+$0.44
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.1100.115$3.16+$0.14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1720.090$2.71−$2.44
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? · No0.7160.632$2.45−$0.32
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.0800.095$2.38+$0.38
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6450.935$2.19+$0.68
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.0800.085$2.13+$0.13
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5200.365$2.11−$0.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 22:20Spread: Chargers (-3.5)SELL0.53$3.27
10-11 22:18Spread: Chargers (-3.5)SELL0.54$3.33
10-11 20:19Giants vs. CommandersSELL0.58$4.55
10-11 18:06Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?SELL0.03$0.19
10-11 17:26Will MOUZ Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?SELL0.03$0.15
10-11 17:16Spread: Jets (-7.5)SELL0.56$4.66
10-11 15:13Eagles vs. JaguarsSELL0.54$4.50
10-11 07:05Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei SakamotoSELL0.03$0.29
10-11 00:47Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.24$2.00
10-11 00:47Texans vs. TitansBUY0.25$2.23
10-11 00:47Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)BUY0.29$2.00
10-11 00:47Will MOUZ Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?BUY0.33$2.00
10-11 00:47Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?BUY0.26$2.56
10-11 00:47Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?BUY0.32$2.00
10-11 00:47Spread: Ravens (-3.5)BUY0.28$4.27