PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

haobtc

0xf2a8eb0ef9ffc39d1243d74bf94eb313bd0745ad

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$121.3k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$126.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? · Yes0.3400.325$32.50$1.50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7700.769$23.09$0.01
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.8600.960$19.19+$1.99
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.8200.875$17.50+$1.10
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.6000.860$17.20+$5.20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.7000.835$16.70+$2.70
Will Chelsea vs. Wolves end in a draw? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00$278.59
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.9930.000$0.00$9.93
76ers vs. Pistons · 76ers0.7150.000$0.00$285.99
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$67.99
Heat vs. 76ers · 76ers0.4980.000$0.00$2.3k
Bulls vs. Pistons · Bulls0.4400.000$0.00$435.60
Wizards vs. Raptors · Wizards0.1100.000$0.00$515.90
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.8500.000$0.00$17.00
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$248.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 04:57Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.77$23.10
09-05 07:24US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.82$16.40
08-30 03:24Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.86$17.20
08-18 01:51Will no listed leader be out before 2027?BUY0.34$34.00
08-14 08:13Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.7$14.00
08-10 01:38US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?BUY0.75$15.00
07-24 03:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.85$17.00
07-10 02:13Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?BUY0.86$17.20
06-27 17:06Will England win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.86$17.20
06-21 12:38Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.68$67.99
06-14 10:33Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.945$18.90
04-07 01:5276ers vs. SpursSELL0.73$1.2k
04-06 05:3276ers vs. SpursBUY0.77$2.1k
04-06 00:55Magic vs. PelicansSELL0.38$319.80
04-05 17:29Hornets vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.58$209.19