haobtc
0xf2a8eb0ef9ffc39d1243d74bf94eb313bd0745ad
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $121.3k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $126.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.420Pistons vs. Celtics
- +$1.8kat 0.756Pistons vs. 76ers
- +$1.1kat 0.64576ers vs. Spurs
- +$989.97at 0.450Lakers vs. Mavericks
- +$989.96at 0.340Bucks vs. Hornets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:57 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.77 | $23.10 |
| 09-05 07:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 08-30 03:24 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 08-18 01:51 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 08-14 08:13 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 08-10 01:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 07-24 03:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 07-10 02:13 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 06-27 17:06 | Will England win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 06-21 12:38 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.68 | $67.99 |
| 06-14 10:33 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.945 | $18.90 |
| 04-07 01:52 | 76ers vs. Spurs | SELL | 0.73 | $1.2k |
| 04-06 05:32 | 76ers vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.77 | $2.1k |
| 04-06 00:55 | Magic vs. Pelicans | SELL | 0.38 | $319.80 |
| 04-05 17:29 | Hornets vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.58 | $209.19 |