PolyBot

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Traders

Bliss99131

0xf29db6b775fd55d2602291ba44db8a9918037d52

Realised P&L
$-13.06
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$196.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? · Yes0.0810.128$133.72+$49.46
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.3700.335$20.78−$2.17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 21? · Yes0.0590.089$20.55+$7.07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 21? · Yes0.0720.049$20.37−$9.87
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 21? · Yes0.0180.018$0.74+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 21? · Yes0.0400.040$0.36−$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 05:53Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 20?SELL0.04$0.20
10-20 04:32Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?BUY0.101$22.34
10-20 02:48Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?BUY0.0751934164$70.20
10-20 01:20Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 20?BUY0.078$0.39
10-20 01:12Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20?BUY0.2$22.00
10-20 01:12Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20?BUY0.221873744$5.08
10-20 01:11Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20?BUY0.147$0.73
10-20 01:11Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20?BUY0.13$0.75
10-20 01:11Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20?BUY0.12$0.60
10-19 17:33Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20?BUY0.2$65.54
10-19 17:03Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?BUY0.37$22.95