Bliss99131
0xf29db6b775fd55d2602291ba44db8a9918037d52
- Realised P&L
- $-13.06
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $196.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.128 | $133.72 | +$49.46 |
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.335 | $20.78 | −$2.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.089 | $20.55 | +$7.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.049 | $20.37 | −$9.87 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.018 | $0.74 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.040 | $0.36 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.00at 0.208Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20?
- +$-0.22at 0.082Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 20?
- +$-51.31at 0.225Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 05:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 10-20 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.101 | $22.34 |
| 10-20 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.0751934164 | $70.20 |
| 10-20 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.078 | $0.39 |
| 10-20 01:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.2 | $22.00 |
| 10-20 01:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.221873744 | $5.08 |
| 10-20 01:11 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.147 | $0.73 |
| 10-20 01:11 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.75 |
| 10-20 01:11 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 10-19 17:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.2 | $65.54 |
| 10-19 17:03 | Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $22.95 |