PolyBot

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Traders

y4rrow

0xf29b060ab42c31afb6ed7b6aded05985b1e2961e

Realised P&L
$89.52
Volume
$35.1k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$27.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? · No0.9200.955$15.21+$0.56
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0920.021$2.42−$8.47
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0990.027$2.19−$5.82
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? · No0.0880.028$1.59−$3.41
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.3400.037$1.54−$12.45
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? · No0.0960.045$1.40−$1.60
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? · No0.0520.037$1.40−$0.54
Tim Walz in jail by December 31? · No0.9500.971$1.03+$0.02
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? · No0.0800.063$0.78−$0.22
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? · No0.0800.018$0.29−$0.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 20:04Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?SELL0.94$36.38
08-17 20:04Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?SELL0.9603703704$41.49
08-17 20:04Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?SELL0.9510524439$90.67
08-17 20:03Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?SELL0.954901352$95.35
08-17 20:03Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?SELL0.7638600103$118.73
08-17 20:03Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?SELL0.958$139.69
08-17 20:02Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.9431583899$140.35
07-23 22:12Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?BUY0.4055614926$173.73
07-23 22:12Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?BUY0.3841543032$85.34
07-23 22:10Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?BUY0.4080573248$64.06
07-23 22:09Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?BUY0.380844431$180.00
05-27 16:30Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?SELL0.8752033648$100.92
05-27 16:30Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?SELL0.7315241619$162.13
05-27 16:30Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?SELL0.865520551$194.79
05-27 16:29Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?SELL0.6276051581$183.97