PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf2966813255fe67a9241cf4ff5ed9626af7b84f6

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$164.1k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$51.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)39.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6740.015$51.92$2.3k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7700.000$0.00$3.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 03:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5105662907$418.70
07-29 23:18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.83$3.0k
07-29 23:17US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.999$3.0k
07-29 07:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.6511286994$1.2k
07-29 07:18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.6535242641$410.74
07-28 09:51Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.9751634451$1.7k
07-20 02:09Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.6699999987$349.31
07-20 02:06Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?SELL0.75$352.81
07-18 22:35Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.64$416.53
07-16 09:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.86$414.63
07-13 21:23Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.6599999995$343.93
07-09 00:00Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7299999981$343.41
07-08 23:57Iran full airspace closure by July 15?BUY0.8323998752$346.86
07-01 00:29Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?BUY0.4524610778$171.73
06-30 06:24Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5752843556$341.61