PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

P4UL92

0xf293ef3ea906d8bb7156e31d3567311c4e541590

Realised P&L
$0.03
Volume
$163.16
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$12.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections? · Yes0.6300.935$7.42+$2.42
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4400.165$1.88−$3.12
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 6? · No0.9890.996$1.01+$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 8? · No0.9840.982$1.00−$0.00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6600.655$0.99−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 16:32Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-04 17:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5?BUY0.9849994435$1.00
10-04 00:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 8?BUY0.984$1.00
10-03 21:15Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 6?BUY0.9889999901$1.00
10-03 16:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 4?BUY0.9509999905$1.00
10-03 05:12Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.9729992703$1.00
10-03 03:55Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4?BUY0.9459999962$1.00
09-30 19:28Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9139999689$1.00
09-30 16:46Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.9369999906$2.00
09-30 16:31Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?BUY0.937999955$1.00
09-28 20:09US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.9579993907$1.00
09-28 03:51Taylor Swift pregnant by September 30?SELL0.0097625745$0.64
09-27 08:04Taylor Swift pregnant by September 30?BUY0.0152864295$1.00
09-27 04:24Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?BUY0.629999995$5.00
09-27 02:45Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4399999754$5.00