PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

polwally4

0xf28ff4697bc86297e75460d27c35bb3b66090327

Realised P&L
$-237.30
Volume
$14.1k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$5.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)97.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 13:47Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.73$100.00
10-31 13:43Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?BUY0.9797778637$500.00
10-31 13:42Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7199999994$500.00
10-31 13:40Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.96$100.00
10-31 13:39Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0969999999$100.00
10-31 13:39Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.9095452269$100.00
10-31 13:38Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.9669674342$100.00
10-31 13:38Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.7199999994$100.00
10-31 13:35Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.9689999999$100.00
09-21 14:21Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.9689999999$100.00
09-21 14:20Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.92$100.00
04-01 02:27Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?BUY0.9225235346$1000.00
03-28 14:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.75$100.00
03-18 18:00Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaBUY0.8977556108$100.00
03-18 17:46Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?BUY0.5$50.00