PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

givingtree

0xf288f5d335976af2efcb4a13a50e4fea52be1f4f

Realised P&L
$-223.70
Volume
$55.3k
Markets traded
1,135
Open portfolio
$30.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,135
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0020.002$6.00$2.00
James Madison vs. San Diego State · James Madison0.5700.885$4.94+$1.76
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20? · No0.8200.805$4.49$0.08
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.6100.610$4.10+$0.00
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9100.925$3.71+$0.06
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.9450.972$2.78+$0.08
KHL: Traktor vs. Avangard Omsk · Traktor0.4200.400$2.24$0.11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2900.165$1.14$0.86
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.005$1.00$1.00
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.8220.102$0.28$1.97
Will FC Maia Lidador win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.9300.065$0.14$1.86
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
XRP Up or Down - March 12, 1AM ET · Down0.6130.000$0.00$4.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00$2.73
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET · Down0.6320.000$0.00$3.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 03:33KHL: Traktor vs. Avangard OmskBUY0.4199999321$2.35
09-20 03:20Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 21?SELL0.74$4.34
09-20 03:16Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 21?BUY0.72$4.23
09-20 03:111H Spread: UCLA (-9.5)SELL0.32$1.78
09-20 03:071H Spread: UCLA (-9.5)BUY0.429999964$2.39
09-20 02:27James Madison vs. San Diego StateBUY0.5699999355$3.18
09-20 02:21LSU vs. Ole MissSELL0.58$3.20
09-20 02:20LSU vs. Ole MissBUY0.589999971$3.26
09-19 23:09US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?SELL0.75$4.13
09-19 23:08US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.7599999855$4.19
09-19 08:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.0299999999$2.00
09-19 08:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.2599999896$2.00
09-19 08:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.5199999644$2.92
09-19 08:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.48$2.64
09-19 08:46Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETBUY0.2099999895$2.00