PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

takemetobachmut

0xf24297f3aa29be9ae283a26ca5cfc1920f66041c

Realised P&L
$-1.93
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$5.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2000.165$1.65$0.35
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0550.053$1.06$0.04
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0340.026$0.80$0.23
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2100.145$0.72$0.33
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.054$0.55$0.26
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? · Yes0.0800.021$0.20$0.59
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0300.018$0.18$0.12
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0050.001$0.10$0.90
Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5) · Seattle Storm0.5200.000$0.00$2.60
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · ThunderTalk Gaming0.3200.000$0.00$1.60
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals · Toronto Blue Jays0.4400.000$0.00$4.40
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino · Adrian Mannarino0.2600.000$0.00$1.30
ITF Santa Fe: Antonia Rivera vs Krisha Mahendran · Antonia Rivera0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx · Dallas Wings0.1200.000$0.00$1.20
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs · TheMongolz0.4000.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 16:57Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$0.60
09-03 16:56Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.057$0.57
09-03 16:54Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?SELL0.05$1.00
09-03 16:54Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.02$1.25
09-03 16:53Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.577$4.62
08-21 14:59Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.1699998861$1.00
08-21 14:55US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.967$9.67
08-13 08:06Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.13$1.30
08-13 07:27US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.65$6.50
08-09 21:05LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonBUY0.3$1.50
08-09 21:04Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota LynxBUY0.12$1.20
08-09 10:09LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupBUY0.13$1.30
08-08 18:55LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupBUY0.39$7.80
08-06 16:32Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.58$7.54
08-06 16:31Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)BUY0.49$4.41