0xf22ab9d7b30d412b5a9fc9b054f8921c76f91697
- Realised P&L
- $24.4k
- Volume
- $8.29M
- Markets traded
- 1,363
- Open portfolio
- $5.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,363
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.6kat 0.050Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$18.2kat 0.340Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$17.6kat 0.520Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
- +$13.7kat 0.260Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$9.8kat 0.045No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-07 14:48 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 06-07 14:24 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 06-07 14:21 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 06-07 14:14 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 06-07 14:00 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 06-07 13:10 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 06-07 13:07 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 06-07 01:54 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 06-07 01:40 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 06-07 01:36 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 06-07 01:34 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 06-07 01:34 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 06-07 01:33 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 06-07 01:20 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 06-07 00:55 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |