PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf22ab9d7b30d412b5a9fc9b054f8921c76f91697

Realised P&L
$24.5k
Volume
$8.29M
Markets traded
1,363
Open portfolio
$5.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,363
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat? · Yes0.4040.935$575.09+$326.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2910.825$513.43+$332.55
Will the Republican Party win the UT-02 House seat? · Yes0.2420.945$472.50+$351.31
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? · Yes0.6150.869$416.91+$121.76
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8320.945$361.79+$43.27
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6810.715$357.50+$17.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4410.445$324.74+$2.92
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4710.595$292.96+$61.06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5060.860$268.18+$110.45
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.2570.490$227.85+$108.21
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.2820.470$213.85+$85.56
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5610.405$168.08$64.74
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? · Yes0.4761.000$155.00+$81.15
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4610.595$151.98+$34.23
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.3610.855$131.50+$75.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-07 14:48Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?BUY0.59$2.95
06-07 14:24Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat?BUY0.76$3.80
06-07 14:21Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?BUY0.86$4.30
06-07 14:14Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?BUY0.66$3.30
06-07 14:00Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat?BUY0.65$3.25
06-07 13:10Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?BUY0.65$3.25
06-07 13:07Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat?BUY0.68$3.40
06-07 01:54Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?BUY0.87$4.35
06-07 01:40Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?BUY0.88$4.40
06-07 01:36Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?BUY0.89$4.45
06-07 01:34Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?BUY0.89$4.45
06-07 01:34Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?BUY0.89$4.45
06-07 01:33Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?BUY0.89$4.45
06-07 01:20Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat?BUY0.73$3.65
06-07 00:55Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?BUY0.89$4.45