PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF220a1A08846417ff57B16BB3605DD2B03ABb4b5-1762988083912

0xf220a1a08846417ff57b16bb3605dd2b03abb4b5

Realised P&L
$-47.36
Volume
$739.95
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$16.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5200.484$4.66−$0.34
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026? · No0.8500.765$4.50−$0.50
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.5800.415$3.58−$1.42
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5500.175$0.95−$2.05
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.4300.063$0.73−$4.27
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2540.045$0.71−$3.29
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.038$0.64−$2.36
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.011$0.43−$2.57
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.031$0.39−$1.61
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.011$0.38−$2.62
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2800.003$0.01−$0.99
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on January 19? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 3? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00−$1.00
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? · ETH0.4500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 20:24Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?BUY0.8499999915$5.00
10-10 19:40US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?SELL0.963$5.94
02-05 21:53Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 12?BUY0.75$5.00
02-05 21:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?BUY0.1329999022$1.00
02-05 00:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6?BUY0.6199998016$3.00
02-01 09:51Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2536585016$4.00
02-01 09:50Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.179999958$3.00
02-01 09:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?BUY0.6579999996$3.00
01-31 22:56Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5499999633$3.00
01-31 22:53Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$2.00
01-31 22:51Will Solana reach $130 in February?BUY0.2799999515$3.00
01-31 22:50Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1?BUY0.1111111111$2.00
01-31 22:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?BUY0.3619999587$3.00
01-31 22:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 6?BUY0.5499999633$3.00
01-31 22:46Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 6?BUY0.5799999265$3.00