0xF220a1A08846417ff57B16BB3605DD2B03ABb4b5-1762988083912
0xf220a1a08846417ff57b16bb3605dd2b03abb4b5
- Realised P&L
- $-47.36
- Volume
- $739.95
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $16.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.82at 0.390S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
- +$5.20at 0.490Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$4.10at 0.500Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$4.02at 0.599Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?
- +$3.61at 0.580Will Trump say "America" or "American" 8+ at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 20:24 | Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 19:40 | US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? | SELL | 0.963 | $5.94 |
| 02-05 21:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 12? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 02-05 21:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7? | BUY | 0.1329999022 | $1.00 |
| 02-05 00:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6? | BUY | 0.6199998016 | $3.00 |
| 02-01 09:51 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2536585016 | $4.00 |
| 02-01 09:50 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.179999958 | $3.00 |
| 02-01 09:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2? | BUY | 0.6579999996 | $3.00 |
| 01-31 22:56 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $3.00 |
| 01-31 22:53 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 01-31 22:51 | Will Solana reach $130 in February? | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |
| 01-31 22:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1? | BUY | 0.1111111111 | $2.00 |
| 01-31 22:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4? | BUY | 0.3619999587 | $3.00 |
| 01-31 22:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 6? | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $3.00 |
| 01-31 22:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 6? | BUY | 0.5799999265 | $3.00 |