zotoves
0xf21e117b3b4914d9ee0546d427a6221d2b87705a
- Realised P&L
- $-16.89
- Volume
- $767.96
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $76.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election? · No | 0.560 | 0.550 | $33.55 | −$0.61 |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? · No | 0.240 | 0.205 | $27.47 | −$4.69 |
| Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.135 | $15.39 | −$3.99 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 4? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 4? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.74 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 4? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 4? · No | 0.473 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.97 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 4? · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.40at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5?
- +$1.00at 0.540Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 4?
- +$0.00at 0.160Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?