PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Motivated

0xf2100ad2b5aae10a3e612b75dc15ff02bc252d8c

Realised P&L
$-174.69
Volume
$32.1k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$45.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.8901.000$7.87+$0.87
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.8301.000$7.23+$1.23
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.4201.000$7.14+$4.14
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? · Yes0.8600.760$6.19$0.81
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8600.455$5.29$4.71
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4300.595$4.15+$1.15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1750.080$3.98$4.78
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7720.954$3.71+$0.71
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$3.00
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$35.00
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Casper Ruud · Ruud0.7300.000$0.00$4.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$1.00
Chennai Open: Mei Yamaguchi vs Francesca Jones · Jones0.8200.000$0.00$5.00
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-29? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$106.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-24 10:58Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.8299999142$6.00
06-24 10:58Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.4199999272$3.00
06-24 10:56Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?BUY0.8599999902$7.00
06-24 10:56Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.771999756$3.00
06-24 10:56Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.8899999911$7.00
06-24 10:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.025$1.00
06-24 10:55Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.86$10.00
06-24 10:542026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4299999298$3.00
03-18 10:10Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group ABUY0.8799999859$5.00
10-29 08:44Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Casper RuudBUY0.729999958$4.00
10-29 08:44Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-29?BUY0.6599999604$5.00
10-29 08:43Will Juventus win on 2025-10-29?BUY0.6899999917$5.00
10-29 08:43Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-29?BUY0.8$5.00
10-29 08:43Pelicans vs. NuggetsBUY0.86$5.00
10-29 08:40Pacers vs. MavericksBUY0.7099999702$5.00