Motivated
0xf2100ad2b5aae10a3e612b75dc15ff02bc252d8c
- Realised P&L
- $-174.69
- Volume
- $32.1k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $45.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.77at 0.165Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
- +$80.88at 0.610Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
- +$77.17at 0.780Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?
- +$14.99at 0.870Will Trump say "inflation" 5 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?
- +$5.48at 0.504Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 10:58 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.8299999142 | $6.00 |
| 06-24 10:58 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.4199999272 | $3.00 |
| 06-24 10:56 | Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999902 | $7.00 |
| 06-24 10:56 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.771999756 | $3.00 |
| 06-24 10:56 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999911 | $7.00 |
| 06-24 10:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 10:55 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 10:54 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4299999298 | $3.00 |
| 03-18 10:10 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 08:44 | Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Casper Ruud | BUY | 0.729999958 | $4.00 |
| 10-29 08:44 | Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-29? | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 08:43 | Will Juventus win on 2025-10-29? | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 08:43 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-29? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 08:43 | Pelicans vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 08:40 | Pacers vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |