LLIyJIeP
0xf20c31d5bb311fddf70470b73fe4a6544dfd8b9e
- Realised P&L
- $-222.64
- Volume
- $30.9k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $31.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$299.60at 0.250Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 31?
- +$61.63at 0.320UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$58.89at 0.090Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 7?
- +$55.29at 0.153Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 6?
- +$23.87at 0.562UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 13:24 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? | BUY | 0.2199999962 | $8.00 |
| 10-30 13:23 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 09:34 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 10-24 14:19 | UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5999999958 | $28.64 |
| 10-24 14:18 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5499999954 | $30.00 |
| 03-21 22:05 | UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.329999994 | $34.37 |
| 03-21 22:02 | UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $34.38 |
| 03-21 21:39 | UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6699999991 | $23.06 |
| 03-16 19:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 03-16 19:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 02-25 21:01 | Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.23 | $27.06 |
| 02-11 11:51 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $9.97 |
| 02-04 20:03 | Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6999999982 | $76.56 |
| 02-02 18:28 | Solana Up or Down - February 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1393034771 | $19.86 |
| 01-29 20:47 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on January 30? | BUY | 0.0634941608 | $5.00 |