PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LLIyJIeP

0xf20c31d5bb311fddf70470b73fe4a6544dfd8b9e

Realised P&L
$-222.64
Volume
$30.9k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$31.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2000.175$17.50−$2.50
Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch? · Yes0.7000.125$13.67−$62.89
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card) · Michael Aswell0.3300.000$0.00−$34.37
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$40.00
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$9.97
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on January 15? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00−$23.00
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 8? · No0.0410.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 17? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$3.00
Fight to Go the Distance? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 27? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$5.00
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$8.00
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 3? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$7.00
UFC Fight Night: Horiguchi vs. Ulanbekov (Flyweight, Prelims) · Ulanbekov0.6900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on January 30? · Yes0.2480.000$0.00−$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 13:24Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?BUY0.2199999962$8.00
10-30 13:23Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?BUY0.02$5.00
10-25 09:34Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2$20.00
10-24 14:19UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.5999999958$28.64
10-24 14:18UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.5499999954$30.00
03-21 22:05UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.329999994$34.37
03-21 22:02UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)SELL0.999$34.38
03-21 21:39UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.6699999991$23.06
03-16 19:56Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$3.00
03-16 19:49Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$1.00
02-25 21:01Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.23$27.06
02-11 11:51US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?BUY0.02$9.97
02-04 20:03Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch?BUY0.6999999982$76.56
02-02 18:28Solana Up or Down - February 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETBUY0.1393034771$19.86
01-29 20:47Will the price of Solana be above $110 on January 30?BUY0.0634941608$5.00