PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

steplz

0xf1f3539b0df932115b110b9efacfe9799333d124

Realised P&L
$-637.34
Volume
$14.0k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7200.545$272.50$87.50
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8540.739$221.55$34.65
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.915$182.99+$27.00
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.3400.992$148.72+$97.72
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8400.680$136.00$32.00
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.8000.610$91.50$28.50
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.4800.705$86.86+$27.72
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2430.249$49.90+$1.30
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6400.135$12.98$48.55
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5980.009$5.45$378.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-22 14:15Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETSELL0.52$3.11
02-22 14:10Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSELL0.54$3.52
02-22 14:00Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETSELL0.56$3.65
02-22 13:50Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETSELL0.62$4.04
02-22 12:59Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETSELL0.85$9.24
02-21 21:52Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETSELL0.5$0.96
02-21 21:51Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETSELL0.5$0.96
02-21 21:51Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.5099998317$0.97
02-21 21:50Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.5099998317$0.97
02-21 21:50Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSELL0.63$1.22
02-21 21:49Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.5099998317$0.97
02-21 21:48Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.5099998317$0.97
02-21 21:32Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETSELL0.5$0.96
02-21 21:31Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.5099998317$0.97
02-21 21:30Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSELL0.55$2.75