PNP
0xf1dc55a789fe94f37df85128b19d71873bea5460
- Realised P&L
- $4.7k
- Volume
- $467.9k
- Markets traded
- 628
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded628
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$481.56at 0.527MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$403.11at 0.604MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$391.75at 0.241Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$370.52at 0.426Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$329.18at 0.201MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 16:11 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.28 | $36.40 |
| 10-20 17:06 | Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.51 | $49.83 |
| 10-10 18:20 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.73 | $146.00 |
| 10-10 18:08 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 10-10 17:23 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.24 | $31.20 |
| 09-27 15:30 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.877 | $87.70 |
| 09-27 15:29 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.877 | $131.55 |
| 09-27 15:29 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.712 | $71.20 |
| 09-20 16:08 | Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.28 | $7.00 |
| 09-20 15:58 | Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.229999987 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 15:34 | Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $35.00 |
| 09-05 15:29 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4799999952 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 15:28 | Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 0 Coventry City FC? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 23:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.011 | $11.00 |
| 07-21 17:05 | Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 22? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |