PolyBot

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Traders

S1aOV7EByt21

0xf1b72d5e6caf737c3a1b840615039954644fa45e

Realised P&L
$427.15
Volume
$40.1k
Markets traded
100
Open portfolio
$107.06

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded100
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0960.125$38.03+$8.71
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6300.705$28.20+$3.00
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.6600.655$9.92−$0.08
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3790.439$8.77+$1.19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4440.412$6.19−$0.47
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.935$4.67+$0.53
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election? · Yes0.2400.210$4.20−$0.60
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7300.645$2.51−$0.33
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0900.095$1.90+$0.10
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0390.069$1.83+$0.79
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? · No0.0480.037$0.82−$0.23
Brewers vs. Blue Jays · Brewers0.3900.000$0.00−$1.95
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$10.00
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3) · 3DMAX0.4000.000$0.00−$39.99
Braves vs. Phillies: O/U 7.5 · Over0.6200.000$0.00−$3.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:40Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
10-27 02:43Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.7299999923$2.84
10-27 02:43Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.05$2.81
10-25 03:53Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$1.43
10-25 03:52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.05$1.00
10-16 10:35US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.35$3.50
10-16 10:35Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?BUY0.24$4.80
10-16 10:33Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.09$1.80
10-16 10:33Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?BUY0.048$1.06
10-16 10:31Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$10.00
10-04 04:26Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$2.70
10-01 14:57Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.63$25.20
10-01 14:52Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?BUY0.039$1.04
10-01 14:51Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$10.80
10-01 14:49Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.32$1.00