0xf16bef3ae5bc13b148c82fe890890a2ba0005ae3
0xf16bef3ae5bc13b148c82fe890890a2ba0005ae3
- Realised P&L
- $3.11
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $1.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.10at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 4?
- +$11.83at 0.107Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1?
- +$7.64at 0.282Michigan vs. Minnesota
- +$6.62at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?
- +$4.20at 0.326Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.29 |
| 10-04 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 10-04 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.07 |
| 10-04 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.53 |
| 10-04 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 10-04 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.18 |
| 10-04 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.21 |
| 10-04 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.15 |
| 10-04 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.041 | $0.41 |
| 10-04 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.11 |
| 10-04 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 4? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.28 |
| 10-04 05:23 | Cincinnati vs. Arizona | SELL | 0.981 | $1.18 |
| 10-04 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or higher on October 4? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.03 |
| 10-04 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.054 | $0.27 |
| 10-04 04:58 | Baylor vs. Arizona State | SELL | 0.98 | $1.25 |