PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xf16bef3ae5bc13b148c82fe890890a2ba0005ae3

0xf16bef3ae5bc13b148c82fe890890a2ba0005ae3

Realised P&L
$3.11
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$1.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes0.0900.085$0.85−$0.05
Will Minnesota Wild be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion? · Yes0.1000.110$0.55+$0.05
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.0260.037$0.19+$0.06
Will the Buffalo Sabres be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes0.0170.015$0.15−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 27? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$1.00
Merrimack vs. Yale · Merrimack0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Rangers vs. Red Wings · Red Wings0.1530.000$0.00−$3.00
Ducks vs. Golden Knights · Golden Knights0.0950.000$0.00−$1.00
Mercyhurst vs. LIU · Mercyhurst0.3020.000$0.00−$2.00
Princeton vs. Columbia · Columbia0.3800.000$0.00−$1.00
China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic · Yunchaokete Bu0.4100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 1? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$2.70
Boston College vs. SMU · Boston College0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bermuda win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 07:52Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?SELL0.001$0.29
10-04 07:03Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 4?SELL0.1$0.50
10-04 06:59Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?SELL0.005$0.07
10-04 06:57Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 4?SELL0.021$0.53
10-04 06:51Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 4?SELL0.001$0.04
10-04 06:38Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 4?SELL0.002$0.18
10-04 06:34Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?SELL0.021$0.21
10-04 06:25Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 4?SELL0.031$0.15
10-04 06:09Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?SELL0.041$0.41
10-04 06:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 4?SELL0.021$0.11
10-04 06:01Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 4?SELL0.008$0.28
10-04 05:23Cincinnati vs. ArizonaSELL0.981$1.18
10-04 05:21Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or higher on October 4?SELL0.006$0.03
10-04 05:00Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 4?SELL0.054$0.27
10-04 04:58Baylor vs. Arizona StateSELL0.98$1.25