chirsxp
0xf151c13bbc9394a6c85543dfb2d6fc8c6fe8f777
- Realised P&L
- $149.32
- Volume
- $60.6k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $68.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.002 | $23.82 | −$39.70 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No | 0.105 | 0.042 | $21.00 | −$31.50 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes | 0.018 | 0.007 | $18.75 | −$26.25 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.003 | $5.00 | −$61.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$174.25at 0.032Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$-10.75at 0.005Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 12:13 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.42 |
| 07-27 13:39 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $15.00 |
| 06-17 23:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.184 | $92.00 |