PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

reidtempe

0xf1497ed8ce7d81aa965e2ff30070e8f07b9321b9

Realised P&L
$-801.34
Volume
$249.9k
Markets traded
192
Open portfolio
$282.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded192
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$109.91+$39.41
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.9300.445$54.29$59.17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$31.09$39.41
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.7700.355$24.85$29.05
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.015$13.29+$2.29
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7100.085$11.97$88.03
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.006$10.04$10.33
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.5690.080$7.54$46.46
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.5900.305$6.10$5.70
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? · Yes0.4900.210$4.20$5.60
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0800.043$3.60$3.18
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8300.535$3.22$1.78
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0280.011$1.66$2.34
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0140.002$0.64$5.36
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0580.004$0.18$2.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 18:13Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
09-01 17:47Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.3499998775$1.00
08-21 22:17Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8299999967$5.00
08-02 21:53Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.29999982$1.00
08-01 18:15Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.29999982$1.00
07-10 20:39Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?SELL0.495$9.90
07-10 20:14Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?SELL0.1425$4.19
07-09 21:18Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?SELL0.325$13.00
07-09 21:17Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.315$45.00
07-08 00:23Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.25$5.00
07-08 00:23Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.25$10.00
07-08 00:22Will France win on 2026-07-09?SELL0.62$10.83
07-08 00:22Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
07-08 00:21Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
07-08 00:21Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6299999954$11.00