reidtempe
0xf1497ed8ce7d81aa965e2ff30070e8f07b9321b9
- Realised P&L
- $-801.34
- Volume
- $249.9k
- Markets traded
- 192
- Open portfolio
- $282.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded192
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$313.33at 0.060Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
- +$85.00at 0.150Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$46.75at 0.003Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$39.58at 0.779Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$39.43at 0.519Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 18:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 17:47 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 22:17 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 21:53 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 18:15 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 20:39 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | SELL | 0.495 | $9.90 |
| 07-10 20:14 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | SELL | 0.1425 | $4.19 |
| 07-09 21:18 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | SELL | 0.325 | $13.00 |
| 07-09 21:17 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.315 | $45.00 |
| 07-08 00:23 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 00:23 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 00:22 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | SELL | 0.62 | $10.83 |
| 07-08 00:22 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 00:21 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 00:21 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6299999954 | $11.00 |