chenchenli
0xf146776f03d21f3b9b267e412804c2797645405d
- Realised P&L
- $1.83
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $14.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $12.19 | −$0.01 |
| Michigan Senate favorite on November 2? · El-Sayed | 0.740 | 0.930 | $1.89 | +$0.39 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 15? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on September 30? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–$3.00 in May? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 8? · No | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.94at 0.53076ers vs. Bucks
- +$1.30at 0.992Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
- +$0.35at 0.740US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.32at 0.998Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
- +$0.32at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 10:05 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.20 |
| 10-16 09:59 | Michigan Senate favorite on November 2? | BUY | 0.7399998816 | $1.50 |
| 09-21 13:02 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.66 |
| 09-21 13:00 | LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs The Otter Side - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8899999867 | $2.68 |
| 08-28 15:24 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.30 |
| 07-19 08:26 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.30 |
| 06-07 11:52 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9919999944 | $161.00 |
| 06-07 11:46 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–$3.00 in May? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 06:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? | BUY | 0.9989999936 | $135.00 |
| 05-26 07:20 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 07:20 | Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May? | BUY | 0.998999002 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 07:20 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 07:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998999002 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 07:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 07:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |