1247408589
0xf1355aff774494748ba8a33ccccea3f534803243
- Realised P&L
- $4.87
- Volume
- $30.7k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $71.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $69.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.924 | 0.969 | $1.50 | +$0.07 |
| Nets vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.43 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 20? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? · No | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.35 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Warriors vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? · No | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · No | 0.819 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.10 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 22? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Utah vs. Hurricanes · Utah | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.16at 0.654Will England win on 2026-07-15?
- +$11.87at 0.764Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
- +$5.84at 0.690Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$5.57at 0.700Heat vs. Jazz
- +$5.18at 0.680Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 08:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.998 | $70.00 |
| 09-14 08:48 | Will Solana dip to $10 in September? | SELL | 0.998 | $3.69 |
| 09-10 01:54 | Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $4.99 |
| 09-08 03:20 | Will Solana dip to $10 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.00 |
| 08-25 03:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9989999575 | $23.00 |
| 08-20 05:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | SELL | 0.992 | $22.86 |
| 08-03 03:23 | Will Solana dip to $10 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $26.00 |
| 08-03 03:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? | BUY | 0.997 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 03:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.00 |
| 07-25 05:16 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in July? | BUY | 0.9989999665 | $29.00 |
| 07-25 05:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July? | BUY | 0.9989999593 | $24.00 |
| 07-25 05:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9989999534 | $21.00 |
| 07-14 04:52 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 07-14 04:52 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |
| 07-14 04:50 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.6425000138 | $30.00 |