PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

1247408589

0xf1355aff774494748ba8a33ccccea3f534803243

Realised P&L
$4.87
Volume
$30.7k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$71.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11? · No0.9980.996$69.82−$0.18
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9240.969$1.50+$0.07
Nets vs. 76ers · 76ers0.7900.000$0.00−$11.43
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 20? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? · No0.8200.000$0.00−$1.35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$1.00
Warriors vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.6900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$9.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? · No0.7800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · No0.8190.000$0.00−$12.10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 22? · No0.6800.000$0.00−$1.00
Utah vs. Hurricanes · Utah0.9400.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 08:13Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11?BUY0.998$70.00
09-14 08:48Will Solana dip to $10 in September?SELL0.998$3.69
09-10 01:54Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.994$4.99
09-08 03:20Will Solana dip to $10 in September?BUY0.999$74.00
08-25 03:17Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?BUY0.9989999575$23.00
08-20 05:49Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?SELL0.992$22.86
08-03 03:23Will Solana dip to $10 in August?BUY0.998$26.00
08-03 03:22Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August?BUY0.997$25.00
08-03 03:22Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?BUY0.998$23.00
07-25 05:16Will XRP reach $3.00 in July?BUY0.9989999665$29.00
07-25 05:15Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?BUY0.9989999593$24.00
07-25 05:15Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?BUY0.9989999534$21.00
07-14 04:52Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?BUY0.999$15.00
07-14 04:52Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?BUY0.999$12.00
07-14 04:50Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.6425000138$30.00