OKBETNumberone
0xf11cfd412c659ed287012e9f3f840eef262d72ff
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $171.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.981 | $125.10 | +$14.10 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.029 | $29.50 | −$120.50 |
| Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027? · Yes | 0.503 | 0.170 | $16.88 | −$33.12 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? · ETH | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Solana reach $200 in January? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Ethereum flipped in 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$123.99 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28? · No | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 2AM ET · Up | 0.511 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.95at 0.410Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$56.38at 0.470Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$34.85at 0.589Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?
- +$4.48at 0.870Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
- +$-150.12at 0.150Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 09:33 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $11.25 |
| 05-04 09:31 | Ethereum flipped in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $24.02 |
| 05-04 09:23 | Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.04 |
| 01-12 12:59 | Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? | BUY | 0.012 | $50.00 |
| 01-12 12:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.5111569842 | $500.00 |
| 01-12 12:57 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 0.2799999991 | $200.00 |
| 01-12 12:54 | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 01-12 12:54 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28? | BUY | 0.66 | $100.00 |
| 01-12 12:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $111.00 |
| 01-12 12:52 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.4699999982 | $50.00 |
| 01-12 12:52 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999829 | $30.00 |
| 01-12 12:52 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.4099999969 | $50.00 |
| 01-12 12:51 | Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? | BUY | 0.5892581096 | $50.00 |
| 01-12 12:51 | Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027? | BUY | 0.5034448771 | $50.00 |
| 01-12 12:50 | Will Solana reach $200 in January? | BUY | 0.0275881758 | $50.00 |