PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OKBETNumberone

0xf11cfd412c659ed287012e9f3f840eef262d72ff

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$10.8k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$171.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8700.981$125.10+$14.10
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.029$29.50−$120.50
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027? · Yes0.5030.170$16.88−$33.12
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? · No0.5800.000$0.00−$100.00
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? · ETH0.2800.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Solana reach $200 in January? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$50.00
Ethereum flipped in 2026? · No0.6200.000$0.00−$123.99
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$50.00
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28? · No0.6600.000$0.00−$100.00
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 2AM ET · Up0.5110.000$0.00−$500.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-04 09:33Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$11.25
05-04 09:31Ethereum flipped in 2026?BUY0.62$24.02
05-04 09:23Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?BUY0.15$5.04
01-12 12:59Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?BUY0.012$50.00
01-12 12:58Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 2AM ETBUY0.5111569842$500.00
01-12 12:57First to 5k: Gold or ETH?BUY0.2799999991$200.00
01-12 12:54Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?BUY0.5799999979$100.00
01-12 12:54Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?BUY0.66$100.00
01-12 12:52Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.87$111.00
01-12 12:52Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.4699999982$50.00
01-12 12:52Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.8699999829$30.00
01-12 12:52Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.4099999969$50.00
01-12 12:51Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?BUY0.5892581096$50.00
01-12 12:51Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?BUY0.5034448771$50.00
01-12 12:50Will Solana reach $200 in January?BUY0.0275881758$50.00