fhjbjk
0xf0f91aeeb3a583f6c7d2a2f631cb498bda4da781
- Realised P&L
- $-13.84
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $0.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.94at 0.040Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?
- +$2.12at 0.870Mavericks vs. Thunder
- +$2.02at 0.600Ethereum above $4400 on August 27?
- +$1.36at 0.430Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
- +$1.36at 0.420Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 08:40 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.29 |
| 08-08 07:49 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 12:31 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 14:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 09:22 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 00:44 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 04:16 | Will Iran strike Lebanon in March? | SELL | 0.829 | $4.14 |
| 03-06 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 6? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 14:17 | US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 12:50 | Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Tallon Griekspoor | SELL | 0.49 | $2.04 |
| 02-28 12:23 | Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Tallon Griekspoor | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 02-27 12:03 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 02-26 15:19 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.36 |
| 02-26 15:10 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 02-25 03:42 | Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer? | BUY | 0.9799996353 | $2.58 |