0xf0df89D9F60612e56F005a28d47210e1CB2369C5-1767791574843
0xf0df89d9f60612e56f005a28d47210e1cb2369c5
- Realised P&L
- $4.2k
- Volume
- $5.42M
- Markets traded
- 252
- Open portfolio
- $7.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded252
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.468Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$1.6kat 0.219Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$1.6kat 0.320US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.518Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$1.2kat 0.204Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:07 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.7 | $964.05 |
| 11-01 21:04 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $81.25 |
| 11-01 19:16 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $22.31 |
| 11-01 19:15 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $319.68 |
| 11-01 19:14 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $479.52 |
| 11-01 19:02 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $174.00 |
| 11-01 17:42 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $118.56 |
| 11-01 17:40 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $35.67 |
| 11-01 17:30 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V? | BUY | 0.1750389242 | $112.20 |
| 11-01 17:22 | Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.52 | $60.84 |
| 11-01 15:45 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.2677701896 | $56.50 |
| 11-01 12:05 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD? | BUY | 0.0987131229 | $24.86 |
| 11-01 11:35 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V? | SELL | 0.2006 | $100.30 |
| 11-01 10:13 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L? | BUY | 0.1135660377 | $12.04 |
| 11-01 07:17 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L? | SELL | 0.1324720415 | $85.31 |