1782542301
0xf0da9113235ce8f2a93fc5ff065c160772e8b34c
- Realised P&L
- $20.94
- Volume
- $26.5k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $226.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.865 | 0.878 | $203.12 | +$3.12 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $19.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.924 | 0.972 | $1.89 | +$0.09 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.980 | 0.935 | $1.12 | −$0.05 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · No | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$94.72 |
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.36 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on January 31? · No | 0.996 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.88 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8? · No | 0.967 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$160.11at 0.280Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$15.58at 0.240Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$2.50at 0.800Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
- +$1.56at 0.540Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
- +$1.49at 0.770Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 07:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 04:48 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9759999996 | $19.00 |
| 08-17 05:32 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.00 |
| 08-03 03:17 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.00 |
| 08-03 03:17 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 03:16 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8649999996 | $200.00 |
| 07-25 08:37 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July? | BUY | 0.9989999843 | $60.00 |
| 07-25 08:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.999 | $58.00 |
| 07-25 08:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9989999913 | $103.00 |
| 07-11 02:53 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999971 | $60.03 |
| 06-23 06:34 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.9959999804 | $12.00 |
| 06-23 06:33 | Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 06-12 04:31 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |
| 06-12 04:31 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 04:29 | Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June? | SELL | 0.993 | $11.84 |