yen4u
0xf0d5eb1cbe7350f1f896ade6c172e6700414c665
- Realised P&L
- $114.9k
- Volume
- $8.63M
- Markets traded
- 1,701
- Open portfolio
- $220.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,701
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$254.0kat 0.500Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
- +$64.1kat 0.557MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$21.3kat 0.998US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$18.5kat 0.876Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$6.2kat 0.079Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:49 | Will Utah have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | BUY | 0.9985636364 | $13.73 |
| 09-17 12:47 | Will Wyoming have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | BUY | 0.9989259259 | $80.91 |
| 09-17 00:05 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | SELL | 0.02 | $7.67 |
| 09-16 23:59 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.69 | $123.63 |
| 09-16 23:58 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.6983437108 | $155.90 |
| 09-16 23:57 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.618 | $121.12 |
| 09-16 23:50 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.49756574 | $52.98 |
| 09-16 23:41 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.4887166918 | $68.19 |
| 09-16 22:56 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat? | BUY | 0.973 | $4.87 |
| 09-16 17:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.86 | $509.95 |
| 09-16 17:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-16 17:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 09-16 17:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 09-16 17:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.7k |
| 09-16 00:55 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.2k |