odimgraf
0xf0c350edaa4a614eae629915bbc8b65ae6c168d9
- Realised P&L
- $0.33
- Volume
- $59.90
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $17.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.825 | 0.950 | $4.61 | +$0.61 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.329 | 0.280 | $2.56 | −$0.44 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.120 | 0.120 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.240 | $1.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.962 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.312 | 0.130 | $1.00 | −$1.41 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.961 | 0.963 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · No | 0.960 | 0.940 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No | 0.940 | 0.905 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.400 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.33at 0.863US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 02:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.959 | $3.33 |
| 09-22 13:00 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 12:59 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 12:54 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 12:43 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 12:41 | Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 12:36 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9609997473 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 12:35 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 12:34 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3231808754 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 12:33 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999613 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 12:32 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.939999812 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 12:32 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 12:30 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 12:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |