0xf0bc02acd0901eca1fbbfcc71f3e88241ca6fb37
0xf0bc02acd0901eca1fbbfcc71f3e88241ca6fb37
- Realised P&L
- $2.37
- Volume
- $145.48
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $6.92
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24? · No | 0.650 | 0.870 | $1.66 | +$0.42 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.795 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.877 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.565 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.740 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.205 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.195 | $0.48 | −$0.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.49at 0.268Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$2.82at 0.268S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 25?
- +$2.63at 0.320US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.76at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.56at 0.460SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:56 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:17 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:07 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:29 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:28 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:54 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:53 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 18:02 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $197.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 09:55 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:54 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in September? | BUY | 0.7649999579 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:24 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:23 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:52 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:43 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |