0x0138F402028a43D08635161Df194A1ec043A56c4-1780060161150
0xf083c375eb4a981f429024a9670118ec626f62db
- Realised P&L
- $-5.80
- Volume
- $328.27
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $17.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.18at 0.361Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$1.00at 0.412Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-08-02?
- +$0.61at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
- +$0.60at 0.550US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$0.29at 0.070Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:36 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 05:34 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 09:38 | Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 09:32 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 15:52 | Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 19:13 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 16:13 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 15:13 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0419999997 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 07:21 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.8529999582 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 20:57 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.051 | $1.11 |
| 09-05 07:59 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.045999957 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 19:53 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.063 | $1.29 |
| 09-02 16:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 07:23 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 18:20 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.97 |