PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0138F402028a43D08635161Df194A1ec043A56c4-1780060161150

0xf083c375eb4a981f429024a9670118ec626f62db

Realised P&L
$-5.80
Volume
$328.27
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$17.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 05:36Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-16 05:34U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
09-14 09:38Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.25$1.00
09-14 09:32Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
09-13 15:52Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?BUY0.849999915$1.00
09-10 19:132026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.859999914$1.00
09-09 16:13Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
09-09 15:13Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0419999997$1.00
09-09 07:21Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.8529999582$1.00
09-06 20:57Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.051$1.11
09-05 07:59Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.045999957$1.00
09-03 19:53Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.063$1.29
09-02 16:27Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4299999931$10.00
09-02 07:23Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
08-26 18:20Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.69$0.97