PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

qOk

0xf0763eb616982cc58621271e2bfcd34830df0b3c

Realised P&L
$79.47
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Military action against Iran ends by March 30, 2026? · No0.8201.000$390.00+$70.24
Military action against Iran ends by March 28, 2026? · No0.8331.000$304.00+$50.75
Military action against Iran ends by March 29, 2026? · No0.8841.000$99.00+$11.52
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? · Yes0.3371.000$77.00+$51.06
Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.5351.000$40.00+$18.60
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.5701.000$39.00+$16.77
Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7601.000$35.00+$8.40
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026? · No0.8931.000$30.50+$3.25
Claude 4.7 released by June 30? · Yes0.5301.000$29.00+$13.63
Military action against Iran ends by March 23, 2026? · No0.9301.000$25.00+$1.75
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · No0.1801.000$23.77+$19.50
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · No0.2301.000$20.00+$15.40
Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.4901.000$13.00+$6.63
Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by Mar. 31, 2026? · No0.4601.000$13.00+$7.02
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.095$3.80−$14.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-18 09:52Warriors vs. CelticsBUY0.15$1.50
03-18 09:12Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5$10.00
03-18 09:12Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.49$9.80
03-17 23:26Military action against Iran ends by March 23, 2026?BUY0.93$23.25
03-17 23:26Military action against Iran ends by March 28, 2026?BUY0.06$1.50
03-17 22:50Military action against Iran ends by March 29, 2026?BUY0.9$36.00
03-17 22:50Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?BUY0.09$3.60
03-17 20:13DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?BUY0.03$1.68
03-17 20:13DeepSeek V4 released by March 21?BUY0.9689999999$54.32
03-17 14:20Military action against Iran ends by March 30, 2026?BUY0.85$30.60
03-17 14:20Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1404786681$5.40
03-17 12:54Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?BUY0.12$3.48
03-17 12:54Military action against Iran ends by March 29, 2026?BUY0.87$25.23
03-17 11:16Military action against Iran ends by March 30, 2026?BUY0.11$1.65
03-17 11:16Military action against Iran ends by March 29, 2026?BUY0.88$13.20