say
0xf031f49be6d5b2afce3ae280960b2fa7755fe251
- Realised P&L
- $-490.68
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$181.71at 0.622Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$-10.94at 0.480Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-31 12:42 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.67 | $20.39 |
| 03-31 12:41 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY | 0.52 | $208.00 |
| 03-31 12:33 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.3480789744 | $132.22 |
| 03-31 12:27 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $64.06 |
| 03-26 14:29 | Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $267.48 |
| 03-25 14:54 | Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $69.47 |
| 03-25 12:51 | Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $53.41 |
| 03-24 00:22 | US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? | BUY | 0.44 | $84.37 |
| 03-24 00:17 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.341854981 | $175.00 |
| 03-22 20:17 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $151.20 |
| 03-22 20:16 | US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? | BUY | 0.55 | $14.30 |
| 03-22 20:02 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $75.00 |
| 03-22 20:01 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8499999946 | $150.00 |
| 03-22 19:56 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.3679999989 | $175.00 |
| 03-22 19:54 | Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? | BUY | 0.5394593242 | $300.00 |