aarboledaa
0xeffb67e316fc2bfad999bede805f9025ee75bf6a
- Realised P&L
- $100.98
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $69.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$138.63at 0.340Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$45.46at 0.092Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.05at 0.667Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO?
- +$1.16at 0.121Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$-0.04at 0.286Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 02:15 | Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 US Presidential election? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 02:10 | UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 02:05 | UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 20:56 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.377 | $62.83 |
| 06-29 18:18 | Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.29 | $5.18 |
| 06-29 16:25 | Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 02:41 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 02:40 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 02:38 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 23:04 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.222999993 | $20.00 |
| 06-27 20:40 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 14:59 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.011 | $5.50 |
| 06-21 18:28 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.1541108762 | $6.56 |
| 06-20 18:45 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1174398121 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 18:44 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%? | BUY | 0.2689778762 | $20.00 |