PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

aarboledaa

0xeffb67e316fc2bfad999bede805f9025ee75bf6a

Realised P&L
$100.98
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$69.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 02:15Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 US Presidential election?BUY0.2399999923$5.00
09-15 02:10UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.2399999923$5.00
09-15 02:05UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.3599999712$1.00
07-19 20:56Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.377$62.83
06-29 18:18Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceSELL0.29$5.18
06-29 16:25Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2799999731$5.00
06-29 02:41Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.2$5.00
06-29 02:40Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
06-29 02:38Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
06-28 23:04Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.222999993$20.00
06-27 20:40Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.04$5.00
06-23 14:59Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.011$5.50
06-21 18:28Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.1541108762$6.56
06-20 18:45Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.1174398121$5.00
06-20 18:44Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?BUY0.2689778762$20.00