PolyBot

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Traders

Igetlucky

0xefd571274fb3adf3d5bd5390d861c7cb7ec5af20

Realised P&L
$10.71
Volume
$8.0k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$49.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0970.028$29.12$71.76
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2790.160$15.95$11.95
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.2000.022$4.50$35.50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? · No0.3100.000$0.00$49.60
Will Trump launch a coin before the election? · No0.0230.000$0.00$60.00
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Not Like Us"? · No0.0530.000$0.00$18.79
Big Game: 'Drake ‘Tom Brady’ Maye' Parlay · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$5.00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$3.00
Will Kamala Harris say "Abortion" 3 or more times on Call Her Daddy? · No0.1270.000$0.00$15.00
The "Saquon Special" Parlay · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$8.00
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$12.60
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$35.00
Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots0.3200.000$0.00$28.96
Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November? · No0.3000.000$0.00$15.00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? · No0.2100.000$0.00$35.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-06 02:25Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.6699999882$50.00
06-05 21:40Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.3299999978$100.00
06-03 23:31Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.369999998$100.00
06-03 23:30US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.74$259.00
05-07 22:55Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.097$100.88
04-19 20:25Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?BUY0.21$35.70
04-19 20:24US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.34$96.90
04-16 22:16Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.279$27.90
04-16 11:33Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?BUY0.31$49.60
04-16 03:37Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?BUY0.2$3.00
04-16 03:34Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.2$40.00
02-08 19:00Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.32$28.96
02-08 18:57Big Game: 'Seahawks Revenge' ParlayBUY0.3162737127$16.00
02-08 18:56Big Game: 'Drake ‘Tom Brady’ Maye' ParlayBUY0.0349999935$5.00
02-08 18:54Big Game: Overtime?BUY0.08$20.00