Igetlucky
0xefd571274fb3adf3d5bd5390d861c7cb7ec5af20
- Realised P&L
- $10.71
- Volume
- $8.0k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $49.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$225.15at 0.404Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$168.38at 0.377Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$140.00at 0.340US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$21.33at 0.510Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$12.33at 0.630Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-06 02:25 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.6699999882 | $50.00 |
| 06-05 21:40 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.3299999978 | $100.00 |
| 06-03 23:31 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.369999998 | $100.00 |
| 06-03 23:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $259.00 |
| 05-07 22:55 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.097 | $100.88 |
| 04-19 20:25 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BUY | 0.21 | $35.70 |
| 04-19 20:24 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $96.90 |
| 04-16 22:16 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.279 | $27.90 |
| 04-16 11:33 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | BUY | 0.31 | $49.60 |
| 04-16 03:37 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 04-16 03:34 | Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |
| 02-08 19:00 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.32 | $28.96 |
| 02-08 18:57 | Big Game: 'Seahawks Revenge' Parlay | BUY | 0.3162737127 | $16.00 |
| 02-08 18:56 | Big Game: 'Drake ‘Tom Brady’ Maye' Parlay | BUY | 0.0349999935 | $5.00 |
| 02-08 18:54 | Big Game: Overtime? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |