PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xEFB90c1feCfFB3874aB75b1E73Ee81bb87874383-1758826993606

0xefb90c1fecffb3874ab75b1e73ee81bb87874383

Realised P&L
$-358.96
Volume
$13.0k
Markets traded
154
Open portfolio
$357.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded154
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · Yes0.5400.655$157.75+$27.75
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.6890.865$126.88+$25.88
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.3400.285$36.92−$7.09
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.3130.080$22.13−$64.40
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.3450.180$10.42−$9.58
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? · No0.3900.265$3.40−$1.60
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 25, 2026? · No0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 10:14Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?BUY0.64$20.00
09-01 10:13NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.76$20.00
09-01 10:12Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?BUY0.2999999812$8.00
09-01 10:03Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.39$8.79
08-21 17:26Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
08-21 17:25Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.021$1.17
08-13 13:33Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.72$11.00
08-13 13:33Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.126$5.32
08-13 13:32Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.2806450985$3.00
08-13 13:32Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0979999571$2.00
08-13 13:27Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.299999925$2.00
08-13 13:27Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0979999734$3.00
08-13 13:24Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.95$15.44
08-06 00:06NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7599999886$8.00
08-06 00:00Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.01$2.08