0xEFB90c1feCfFB3874aB75b1E73Ee81bb87874383-1758826993606
0xefb90c1fecffb3874ab75b1e73ee81bb87874383
- Realised P&L
- $-368.81
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $341.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.29at 0.732Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
- +$35.80at 0.846Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$33.69at 0.719Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
- +$27.48at 0.247Will "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 6?
- +$20.80at 0.787Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:40 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999873 | $12.00 |
| 08-03 23:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.265999979 | $6.00 |
| 08-03 23:36 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 23:33 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 23:33 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $13.00 |
| 08-03 23:30 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 23:25 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 23:23 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.4799999952 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 23:19 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.0120000002 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 23:17 | Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | SELL | 0.86 | $6.61 |
| 07-31 14:24 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 14:13 | Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | SELL | 0.175 | $1.22 |
| 07-29 21:23 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.7800485859 | $70.00 |
| 07-29 21:04 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 21:01 | Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | BUY | 0.1429999999 | $1.00 |