RoyCooperForVP
0xef7d4c8f88e886ecd1632b80f07814adeaff5e3f
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $830.5k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.135 | $1.0k | −$3.75 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.150 | $150.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.524 | 0.221 | $119.43 | −$164.57 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.99 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$192.80 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$900.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025? · Yes | 0.132 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$661.68 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.20 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.60 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.400Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.149Kristi Noem out by March 31?
- +$1.0kat 0.155Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- +$937.28at 0.519Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
- +$695.96at 0.912Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 22:08 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $100.00 |
| 06-03 22:05 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $500.00 |
| 03-14 22:57 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0599999972 | $20.00 |
| 03-08 21:58 | Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.5794323053 | $140.00 |
| 02-18 12:40 | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 02-14 21:44 | Kristi Noem out by March 31? | BUY | 0.1499999994 | $194.00 |
| 02-14 21:42 | Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | BUY | 0.1519194878 | $150.00 |
| 06-04 12:28 | Circle IPO in 2025? | BUY | 0.0056041803 | $1.43 |
| 06-04 09:32 | Circle IPO in 2025? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.10 |
| 06-04 09:27 | Circle IPO in 2025? | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 06-04 00:48 | Circle IPO in 2025? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.80 |
| 06-04 00:47 | Circle IPO in 2025? | BUY | 0.0150000002 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 00:46 | Circle IPO in 2025? | BUY | 0.0145161243 | $3.00 |
| 06-04 00:46 | Circle IPO in 2025? | BUY | 0.0141812235 | $3.00 |
| 06-04 00:46 | Circle IPO in 2025? | BUY | 0.0127234172 | $3.00 |