MaverickFlashdaddy
0xef7552421455666afee7ab50fffea489b88dfcbf
- Realised P&L
- $15.49
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $4.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.131 | $2.72 | +$1.72 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.055 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.024 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.005 | $0.13 | −$0.87 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.50at 0.080Will Trump say "Hitler" during Georgia rally on October 28?
- +$10.50at 0.160Will Trump say "vote" 30 or more times during Virginia rally on Nov 2?
- +$2.02at 0.757Will YouTube take down Steven Crowder’s election livestream?
- +$1.08at 0.650Will Hailey Welch tweet again by Friday?
- +$0.67at 0.042Will Biden pardon Trump?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 18:35 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.0236729925 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 18:34 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0138997434 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 18:34 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 18:34 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0549999486 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 18:33 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0429999606 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 11:18 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.0270000008 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 11:17 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0479999551 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 11:17 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 15:16 | Trump goes to space in 2026? | BUY | 0.0389999635 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 15:15 | Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 14:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 05-26 14:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | BUY | 0.0314923434 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 14:43 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 12-08 13:16 | Daniel Penny found guilty? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.09 |
| 12-08 13:16 | Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2024? | SELL | 0.77 | $2.23 |