0xef60ea91067a73f6f26d5d45d73046c16572ad0b
0xef60ea91067a73f6f26d5d45d73046c16572ad0b
- Realised P&L
- $-7.19
- Volume
- $262.35
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $3.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.230 | $2.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $147 Week of October 19 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.710 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.480 | $0.74 | −$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.99at 0.341Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$3.35at 0.379Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$2.88at 0.410Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?
- +$2.81at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.341Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 19:28 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 11:28 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $147 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 00:39 | Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 16:38 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 08:31 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3039999708 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 00:13 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3059999865 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 02:58 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 06:02 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:41 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:27 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 05:17 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 17:46 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.4449998042 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:45 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:13 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:13 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |