frostyhopper
0xef4a9530c9db0c24344a3474d2f2cecbe7e45eeb
- Realised P&L
- $-147.26
- Volume
- $67.3k
- Markets traded
- 931
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded931
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.79at 0.316Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)
- +$85.73at 0.360Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2?
- +$85.44at 0.403UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$80.58at 0.094Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?
- +$53.18at 0.231Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:28 | Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $1.66 |
| 11-01 22:20 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.9709999981 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 21:22 | Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9609999441 | $2.44 |
| 11-01 21:20 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.9769997392 | $1.39 |
| 11-01 21:18 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 21:16 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9899995199 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 21:13 | Will Trump say "Burger" in October? | BUY | 0.8949999731 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 21:07 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.988 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 21:05 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.07 |
| 11-01 19:19 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 18:38 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 17:34 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 17:24 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.92 | $7.01 |
| 11-01 14:35 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 14:35 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |