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Traders

frostyhopper

0xef4a9530c9db0c24344a3474d2f2cecbe7e45eeb

Realised P&L
$85.11
Volume
$58.4k
Markets traded
787
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded787
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9920.995$96.27+$0.27
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9400.945$80.43+$0.43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9600.962$80.10+$0.10
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.8990.885$78.72$1.29
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.9940.997$60.15+$0.15
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9610.976$52.79+$0.79
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · No0.9510.960$52.46+$0.46
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? · No0.9300.945$40.65+$0.65
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9660.968$40.05+$0.04
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.9960.996$39.98$0.02
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9770.977$39.97$0.04
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9930.995$36.09+$0.09
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8780.775$35.32$4.68
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9430.945$32.05+$0.05
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · No0.9620.961$31.95$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:28Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1699999983$2.00
09-17 04:15Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.94$24.25
09-17 04:09Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.996$20.00
09-17 04:07Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.9619999903$20.00
09-17 04:06Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.9619999903$20.00
09-17 04:04Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat?BUY0.05$2.00
09-17 03:52Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?BUY0.98$7.85
09-17 02:13Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5539905323$2.00
09-17 00:43Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.9779999881$20.00
09-16 22:55Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.9299999986$20.00
09-16 22:54Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.9$20.00
09-16 22:54Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.9$20.00
09-16 22:45Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.660405$13.21
09-16 22:13Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3099999954$2.00
09-16 22:12Will Jeremy Strong be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.9$2.00
Trader frostyhopper · PolyBot Pro