PolyBot

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Traders

frostyhopper

0xef4a9530c9db0c24344a3474d2f2cecbe7e45eeb

Realised P&L
$-147.26
Volume
$67.3k
Markets traded
931
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded931
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9600.972$82.67+$0.98
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9400.966$82.18+$2.17
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9690.981$81.27+$0.97
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9910.995$80.39+$0.29
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9770.986$63.19+$0.56
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.9110.940$46.50+$1.41
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? · No0.9300.969$41.68+$1.68
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9680.976$40.27+$0.31
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9660.972$40.24+$0.23
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9240.916$39.66−$0.34
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9570.960$37.41+$0.08
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9440.961$33.71+$0.58
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · No0.9620.962$31.97−$0.03
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.9270.910$31.42−$0.58
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? · No0.9360.946$28.31+$0.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:28Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?BUY0.965$1.66
11-01 22:20US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.9709999981$2.00
11-01 21:22Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.9609999441$2.44
11-01 21:20Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.9769997392$1.39
11-01 21:181win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.997$2.00
11-01 21:161win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.9899995199$2.00
11-01 21:13Will Trump say "Burger" in October?BUY0.8949999731$2.00
11-01 21:071win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.988$2.00
11-01 21:051win FDV above $70M one day after launch?SELL0.013$0.07
11-01 19:191win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.3499999825$2.00
11-01 18:38Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?BUY0.08$2.00
11-01 17:34Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.999$2.00
11-01 17:24Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.92$7.01
11-01 14:35Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
11-01 14:35Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.7899999289$2.00