NivSch
0xef44da58cb054c88b2c19e1d613a8dcb3cd16f3b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $16.1k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $284.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.31at 0.260Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
- +$26.17at 0.600Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$21.25at 0.320Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 15:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.429999998 | $32.09 |
| 07-26 20:08 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0579999982 | $30.00 |
| 07-24 20:00 | Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? | BUY | 0.1477061239 | $30.00 |
| 07-24 18:44 | Iran full airspace closure by July 27? | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 18:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.3899999967 | $30.00 |
| 07-24 18:41 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 18:41 | Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.1201960999 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 18:41 | Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.1170228544 | $20.00 |
| 07-23 18:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $143.24 |
| 07-23 18:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | BUY | 0.4399999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 16:47 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 16:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $50.00 |
| 07-23 16:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.2341463399 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 16:44 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0803571342 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 16:44 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |