PolyBot

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Traders

0xef2a2e5397a610a01040212974b53cff7799bd7e

0xef2a2e5397a610a01040212974b53cff7799bd7e

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$14.96M
Markets traded
71,950
Open portfolio
$30.53

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded71,950
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.017$5.00+$4.70
Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.024$3.48+$3.33
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.023$3.40+$3.26
Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.022$3.33+$3.18
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.021$3.03+$2.88
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.015$2.29+$2.15
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0010.032$1.79+$1.74
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0011.000$1.40+$1.40
Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.009$1.33+$1.19
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.009$1.26+$1.11
Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.008$1.04+$0.91
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$0.44+$0.15
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0010.045$0.37+$0.37
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.003$0.37+$0.22
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$0.30+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-19 00:03Will Solana dip to $130 January 12-18?SELL0.99$105.93
12-12 17:07Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.001$0.19
12-02 17:03Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 2?SELL0.999$5.00
11-13 17:04Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 13?SELL0.999$103.90