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Traders

45644t

0xef248d8680d39b2f16b6f22afe36f06732eac761

Realised P&L
$6.48
Volume
$70.4k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$86.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.5800.590$29.50+$0.50
Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3600.490$19.60+$5.20
Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.5500.635$19.04+$2.55
Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9790.967$14.50−$0.19
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2700.183$3.40−$1.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$0.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 17:18Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.979$14.69
10-31 17:17Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027?BUY0.36$14.40
10-31 17:16Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?BUY0.58$29.00
10-31 17:16Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027?BUY0.55$16.49
06-02 17:03Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.994$20.87
06-02 17:02Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?BUY0.998$14.97
06-02 17:01Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?BUY0.996$87.65
05-14 16:20Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?BUY0.978$20.54
05-14 16:20Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?BUY0.997$21.93
05-14 16:20Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?BUY0.997$997.00
05-14 16:18Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.08$1.00
05-14 16:13Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.2$5.00
05-14 16:04Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.08$5.00
05-14 16:04Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.8799999859$5.00
05-14 16:03Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.46$13.80
Trader 45644t · PolyBot Pro