zhengxm1130
0xef08ae4739e964a646d493da4aa1defbde73ca98
- Realised P&L
- $-20.40
- Volume
- $64.7k
- Markets traded
- 4,943
- Open portfolio
- $5.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,943
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration3.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.00at 0.325Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$25.60at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
- +$24.43at 0.001Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on August 31?
- +$17.01at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
- +$15.70at 0.372Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 01:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 7°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-30 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-30 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-03 22:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 13°C on September 4? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.44 |
| 08-22 03:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 22? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 08-16 12:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $6.24 |
| 08-16 12:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | SELL | 0.23 | $5.52 |
| 08-16 09:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | SELL | 0.27 | $6.48 |
| 08-16 09:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | SELL | 0.1991704877 | $4.78 |
| 08-16 09:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $2.64 |
| 08-16 08:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | SELL | 0.2 | $3.60 |
| 08-15 19:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $7.20 |
| 08-15 18:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | SELL | 0.24 | $7.20 |
| 08-15 18:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | SELL | 0.16 | $1.92 |
| 08-15 18:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | SELL | 0.18 | $3.24 |