PolyBot

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Traders

zhengxm1130

0xef08ae4739e964a646d493da4aa1defbde73ca98

Realised P&L
$-20.40
Volume
$64.7k
Markets traded
4,943
Open portfolio
$5.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,943
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration3.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 01:38Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 7°C on October 1?SELL0.999$5.99
09-30 10:59Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30?SELL0.999$5.99
09-30 10:30Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 30?SELL0.999$5.99
09-03 22:32Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 13°C on September 4?SELL0.24$1.44
08-22 03:03Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 22?SELL0.99$5.94
08-16 12:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETSELL0.26$6.24
08-16 12:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETSELL0.23$5.52
08-16 09:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETSELL0.27$6.48
08-16 09:30Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETSELL0.1991704877$4.78
08-16 09:20Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETSELL0.22$2.64
08-16 08:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETSELL0.2$3.60
08-15 19:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETSELL0.3$7.20
08-15 18:50Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETSELL0.24$7.20
08-15 18:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETSELL0.16$1.92
08-15 18:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSELL0.18$3.24