PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xeef0bbcecc8ffb56fc8504943f72766eb6a9a995

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
163
Open portfolio
$117.10

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded163
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes0.0590.042$56.49−$22.27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2010.159$27.69−$7.31
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No0.6030.275$18.24−$21.76
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2500.183$14.68−$5.32
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET · Up0.8700.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.1550.000$0.00−$75.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Down0.4340.000$0.00−$45.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.9300.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET · Down0.8080.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET · Down0.9000.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Docusign say "Fiscal" 15+ times during earnings call? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$7.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Down0.9500.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Up0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Snowflake say "AI" 20+ times during earnings call? · No0.0990.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET · Up0.8400.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 12:37Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?SELL0.0575055762$19.34
10-02 13:52Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?SELL0.0575725283$9.57
09-16 04:40Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.09$3.33
09-15 22:34Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.183$39.54
09-14 14:08Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.031$19.38
09-08 13:26No one announced as next James Bond?SELL0.833$21.80
09-08 13:03Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?SELL0.13$17.73
09-08 12:25Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?SELL0.307625226$13.61
09-07 13:39China x Philippines military clash before 2027?SELL0.72$56.17
09-07 13:38Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?SELL0.6634017094$11.64
09-07 13:37Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?SELL0.0915445217$10.79
09-06 22:21Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.1266006601$5.75
09-04 23:08Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?SELL0.66$9.42
09-02 22:47Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?SELL0.3840222499$40.04
09-02 22:45Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.2847358608$41.23