arb-dog0
0xeedbc7bcc22f14e16f2cdf7ac01243bc806359e5
- Realised P&L
- $5.66
- Volume
- $597.0k
- Markets traded
- 393
- Open portfolio
- $513.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded393
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$831.17at 0.289Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?
- +$651.95at 0.401Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?
- +$588.75at 0.500Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.1%?
- +$448.15at 0.905Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
- +$371.41at 0.021Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 00:32 | Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 10-08 00:31 | Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.6696 | $33.48 |
| 10-08 00:30 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 20:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.85 |
| 10-02 17:31 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0754366339 | $12.74 |
| 10-02 17:30 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.933 | $56.21 |
| 10-02 16:49 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.899 | $89.90 |
| 10-02 16:47 | Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 10-02 16:46 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $5.81 |
| 10-01 15:50 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.8787096774 | $68.10 |
| 10-01 15:49 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.8342088795 | $154.64 |
| 10-01 00:58 | Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 35 by September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $167.50 |
| 10-01 00:58 | Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 35 by September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 10-01 00:55 | Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 35 by September 30? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 09-29 20:27 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.32 | $32.00 |