PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

arb-dog0

0xeedbc7bcc22f14e16f2cdf7ac01243bc806359e5

Realised P&L
$5.66
Volume
$597.0k
Markets traded
393
Open portfolio
$513.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded393
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026? · Yes0.8340.905$167.76+$13.12
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.945$94.50+$0.50
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31? · Yes0.5700.360$36.00−$21.00
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? · Yes0.6690.666$33.33−$0.15
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Turkey? · Yes0.0190.035$32.93+$15.30
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026? · Yes0.8300.960$19.20+$2.60
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in another country? · Yes0.0030.025$16.25+$14.26
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Hungary? · Yes0.0050.022$13.48+$10.38
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the UAE? · Yes0.0160.028$11.92+$5.11
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Qatar? · Yes0.0030.035$9.22+$8.43
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in another Middle East/North Africa country? · Yes0.0030.012$8.10+$6.08
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the United States? · Yes0.0060.015$7.62+$4.86
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Azerbaijan? · Yes0.0040.005$7.61+$0.73
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Italy? · Yes0.0140.011$7.53−$2.34
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Belarus? · Yes0.0040.013$6.87+$4.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 00:32Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.86$17.20
10-08 00:31Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?BUY0.6696$33.48
10-08 00:30Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?BUY0.1$10.00
10-07 20:01Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.22$2.85
10-02 17:31Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?BUY0.0754366339$12.74
10-02 17:30Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?SELL0.933$56.21
10-02 16:49Will Russia target Kyiv on October 3, 2026?BUY0.899$89.90
10-02 16:47Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?SELL0.34$6.80
10-02 16:46Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?SELL0.07$5.81
10-01 15:50Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?BUY0.8787096774$68.10
10-01 15:49Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?BUY0.8342088795$154.64
10-01 00:58Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 35 by September 30?BUY0.997$167.50
10-01 00:58Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 35 by September 30?BUY0.997$9.97
10-01 00:55Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 35 by September 30?SELL0.002$0.20
09-29 20:27Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.32$32.00