tasheryasher
0xeed1549feac71e457ddfbab130acf5f13d54c93c
- Realised P&L
- $10.04
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $167.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat? · Yes | 0.953 | 0.967 | $54.55 | +$0.79 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.973 | 0.962 | $50.88 | −$0.61 |
| Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026? · No | 0.956 | 0.579 | $31.86 | −$20.75 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.940 | 0.598 | $29.88 | −$17.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.14at 0.960Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
- +$1.95at 0.961Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
- +$1.83at 0.964Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.40at 0.972Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$1.15at 0.960Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 06:06 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.985 | $19.70 |